More than 33,000 electric car charging points may be in operation in Poland in two years. This is almost 6 times more than currently. For this to happen, it is necessary to urgently introduce regulatory changes – according to the latest data provided by F5A for the next edition of the PSPA report “Polish EV Outlook 2023”. Otherwise, the number of chargers will be as much as 1/3 lower than in the optimistic scenario.
Data provided by F5A for the needs of the cyclical report “Polish EV Outlook 2023” allowed us to present the current state and development forecasts of the Polish zero- and low-emission transport market on over 320 pages. The key element of the study is a comprehensive analysis of the publicly available charging infrastructure sector. The report presented information, among others: on the current development of the network, the most popular locations and manufacturers of stations belonging to leading operators, the power and availability of chargers, the distribution of infrastructure in cities and voivodeships, the market share of the most important stakeholders, and the implementation by individual municipalities of the obligations arising from the Act on Electromobility and Alternative Fuels.
– According to the latest edition of “Polish EV Outlook”, 70% of all publicly available chargers in Poland operate within the network of 13 leading operators. The number one company – with a share of 19% – at the end of the first half of 2023 was GreenWay Polska. The next places were taken by Orlen Charge, Tauron, Noxo and EV+. More and more charging hubs are being built in Poland. The share of locations where there are at least two publicly available charging stations is over 29%. At least three chargers operate in approximately every tenth location – says Albert Kania from PSPA.
The analysis conducted by F5A shows that no major changes compared to 2022 were recorded among the leading manufacturers of the most popular DC stations. These include Delta, Ekoenergetyka and Efacec. Almost 60% of publicly available charging stations operate in 37 cities with over 100,000 inhabitants. inhabitants. The leader is Warsaw, followed by Gdańsk, Katowice, Kraków and Szczecin.
– We should have the least problems with finding a charging point in the Masovian Voivodeship, whose share in the Polish infrastructure network is over 17%. The next places in this ranking are occupied by the Silesian (13.1%) and Pomeranian (9.8%) voivodeships. The lowest share of points was recorded in the Świętokrzyskie Voivodeship (1.1%), Lubelskie Voivodeship (1.8%), Lubuskie Voivodeship and Podlaskie Voivodeship (2% each). The relatively slow pace of infrastructure development is well illustrated by data on the fulfillment of obligations regarding the minimum number of points provided for in the Act on Electromobility and Alternative Fuels. The deadline for implementing these requirements expired in March 2021. About two years later, only 10 out of 37 obligated local governments had met the statutory goal – says Jan Wiśniewski, Director of the PSPA Research and Analysis Center.
From the data provided by F5A experts for the “Polish EV Outlook” report, you can also learn to what extent the charging infrastructure in Poland enables electric cars to cover longer distances, also on international routes. In the first half of 2023, only 31 chargers were added along the Polish section of the TEN-T network, so the pace of expansion of such devices can hardly be considered satisfactory. The most popular location for charging stations remains public parking lots (with a share of 42%). This is followed by shopping centers (17%), hotels (16%) and gas stations (10%). The possibility of free charging at public stations is a very rare situation in 2023. It affects only 8% of all chargers. In contrast, the vast majority of stations in Poland (94%) are open 24 hours a day.
The latest edition of “Polish EV Outlook”, developed on the basis of the F5A database, contains two scenarios for the expansion of publicly available charging points in Poland. They included, among others: operators’ plans (including companies planning to debut on the Polish market), the current and expected pace of development of the electric car fleet, the forecast demand for charging services, as well as EU regulations (including the final, official text of the AFIR regulation). The differences between the scenarios result primarily from the scope and timing of the introduction of regulatory and system changes addressing the greatest barriers to the expansion of charging infrastructure in Poland. Another important issue is the potential optimization (or lack thereof) of support programs from public funds.
– Month by month, the time frame in which long-postulated changes can be introduced in order to implement the AFIR requirements set for 2025 is closing. Over recent years, the public administration has been aware of the existence of serious shortcomings and barriers in the Polish regulatory system, but despite such circumstances, it did not take more decisive steps to change the situation. As a result, the forecasts in the latest version of “Polish EV Outlook” are less optimistic than in the last edition of our report. We estimate that, provided that the demands developed by the industry as part of the “White Paper of New Mobility” project are taken into account, there may be 32.6 thousand public charging points in Poland in approximately 2 years. Continuing the current passive course by public authorities will result in almost 1/3 fewer of them, which calls into question the development of the entire zero-emission transport sector in Poland – says Maciej Mazur, Managing Director of PSPA.
In addition to the data on charging infrastructure sector provided by F5A, the latest edition of “Polish EV Outlook” also includes a comprehensive analysis of the market for electric passenger cars and commercial vehicles in Poland (BEV and PHEV) and a forecast of its development until 2040 (in three separate scenarios). What is new in the current version of the report is an extensive analysis of the zero-emission heavy transport market. The “Polish EV Outlook” also describes in detail the model offer in the e-mobility segment, as well as the latest legal regulations shaping the Polish electromobility market. The content of “Polish EV Outlook 2023” also includes a forecast of the increase in energy demand related to the development of electromobility.
More information about “Polish EV Outlook” as well as the possibility of ordering the report is available on the website:
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